The full report presented an interesting view on the current mobile market trends, although very positive it’s impossible not to see the slowdown of previous years growth. Revenues will increase, subscribers as well, but things aren’t going to be as great as they have been before..
It’s a forecast, but I’m not really impressed by these numbers, but it could be a wrong reading not sure, so here are my comments:
Considering that we are roughly 7 Billion persons today (but we won’t be much more in 2017 – 2020 seems to be the year we might pass the 8bn threshold) the growth from 3.2 to 3.9 Bn mobile subscribers by 2017 doesn’t leave me impressed. It clearly means we still have much to do on the front of universal access, as according to this numbers we’ll still have only roughly 50% of the world population connected. The number of connections seems impressive, but then again this will be mostly due to the internet of things and all the new connected machines it will bring.
LTE seems it will only be a reality for a fifth of the connected ones, ok, this is a global number, meaning that more evolved markets will see a much better picture and others will not, fair enough, but not impressive either, specially considering that some of the less developed markets could leapfrog directly to LTE when it’s time to evolve or deploy their new networks.
Globally voice will still grow, but clearly not as much as messaging and data, although a big part of the voice will probably also be data, right?
It’s good to see Joyn (the project I worked on for Vodafone) get a special highlight here on the future communications page on the report, although I personally believe it’s a critically and much needed technology upgrade to increase the overall quality of mobile user experience (fixing seriously broken experiences like video or file sharing, but also general terms of interoperability), I have to say that at the current market launch plans and delays, I’m not certain where it will be in 2017, but I’ll keep my fingers crossed and eyes open for developments there.
But then again, I’m still going through the report, have a read yourself, the full report is here, enjoy 😉